Theater-first intel feed with the current analysis and latest brief cards for the selected hotspot.
◈ Theater Assessment
Russia's drone warfare posture continues to deteriorate structurally: Ukrainian deep strikes have now pushed Russian oil processing to its lowest level since 2009, confirming that Moscow's energy and logistics rear is being systematically dismantled faster than air defenses or counter-UAS programs can compensate. Despite high-volume Shahed expenditure, Russia is absorbing severe interception attrition while its supply chain remains critically exposed — newly discovered 2025-manufactured Western and Asian components in recovered Russian UAVs confirm Moscow is still relying on sanctions circumvention networks rather than domestic substitution. The Lys-2 interceptor program and China-dependent electronics procurement represent the outer boundary of Russia's near-term options, neither of which addresses the scale or diversity of the threat.
◈ Key Developments
Current brief cards for this theater.
Zelenskyy is calling for shadow fleet tankers to be stopped in European waters, not escorted through.
While Iranian Shahed-136 suicide drones recently drew attention for destroying key US radars and striking targets as far away as Cyprus in the US-Israel war on Iran, their distant “cousins” in China may pose an even higher risk in a future conflict. China’s ASN-301 shares the Iranian drone’s aerodynamic delta-wing design that is rooted in a common technological origin. The Chinese drone and its variants have evolved into either a highly sophisticated SEAD (suppression of enemy air defences)...
The contents of the Klin, a rare Russian strike drone, have been revealed by Serhii "Flash" Beskrestnov, an adviser to Ukraine's Minister of Defence and a radio technology expert. A Klin was recently shot down by Ukraine's defence forces. The drone features artificial intelligence and a new battery.
◈ Operational Trend
Russia is caught in an attritional trap of its own design — sustaining mass drone expenditure that strains its sanctions-dependent supply chain while Ukrainian precision strikes systematically collapse the energy and logistics infrastructure that underwrites continued operations, with no counter-UAS or air defense solution yet fielded at the scale required to reverse the trend.
Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces destroyed a Buk-M3 air defence system and a Buk-M2 transporter-loader vehicle in Russia's Bryansk Oblast on the night of 21-22 March.
Russian forces attacked Ukraine with 139 UAVs on the night of 21-22 March. Ukrainian air defence forces have shot down or jammed 127 drones.
Beriev A-50U radar planes are Russia's eyes in the sky. As Ukraine knocks out more of the A-50Us, Russian forces are slowly going blind.
Russian attacks have caused new power outages across multiple regions of Ukraine.
Russian officials reported interceptions across multiple regions as Kyiv continues cross-border strikes targeting military and energy infrastructure.
154 drones attacked Ukraine on the night of 20-21 March. Ukraine's air defence forces destroyed or jammed 148 of them. Damage reported in Zaporizhzhia.
Eleven countries have asked for help. Some have already received Ukrainian teams and technology.
A drone sighting that temporarily raised alarms at a U.S. Air Force airfield was more extensive than first reported, per a confidential internal briefing document reviewed by ABC News.
The helicopter crew attempted to escape. However, drones operated by USF pilots “eliminated” them.
Ukrainian forces conducted 365 mid-range strikes between March 2025 and March 2026, a third of them in the last three months alone, using domestically produced drones.
In this episode of the Urban Warfare Project Podcast, John Spencer is joined by Dr. Anthony Tingle, an independent researcher who has made nine trips to Ukraine since the start […] The post Urban Warfare Project Podcast: Drones and Urban Warfare in Ukraine first appeared on Modern War Institute .
In 2025, a NATO exercise in Estonia revealed the structural vulnerability that modern mechanized forces can no longer afford to ignore. During the Hedgehog 2025 exercise, a Ukrainian team of […] The post Drone Warfare and the Future of Korean Armor first appeared on Modern War Institute .
Russia launched more than 130 drones overnight, hitting Odesa, striking the SBU directorate in Lviv, and damaging energy infrastructure near Novovolynsk, officials said.
A Russian drone struck a Territorial Recruitment Center building in Sumy, wounding a passerby, one day after Ukraine marked Mobilization Workers’ Day on March 17.
In an exclusive interview, a logistics coordinator of Ukraine’s 423rd UAS Battalion speaks about drone warfare, shifting battlefield tactics, and why he believes Russia’s war goes far beyond Ukraine.
The military is turning the aging drone into an effective system, extending its life with new weapons, boosting its range and electronic warfare capabilities. The post The Reaper just won’t quit: Try as they might, the military can’t ditch the MQ-9 appeared first on Task & Purpose .
Following their success in Ukraine, Arctic nations are assessing whether first-person-view drones could be deployed on Arctic battlefields.