Ukraine / Russia
33 intel briefs for this theater
◈ Theater Assessment
Ukraine continues to hold structural advantage in the drone war, sustaining offensive deep-strike tempo against Russian rear infrastructure while expanding its air defense architecture and autonomous systems portfolio at an accelerating pace. New reporting confirms Ukraine's B-2 drone is achieving kills against targets up to 200 km deep as Russian air defenses struggle to adapt to an increasingly diverse Ukrainian strike package, and Ukraine's indigenous industrial output is broadening the types and ranges of systems entering the field. The combination of offensive diversification and defensive architectural layering sustains Ukraine's dominant operational dynamic even as Russian mass drone pressure remains historically elevated.
◈ Key Developments
◈ Operational Trend
Ukraine's offensive drone campaign is maturing toward greater range and target diversity, with the B-2 and parallel systems pushing strikes beyond 200 km, but a payload-adequacy gap against hardened targets is emerging as the next operational constraint to resolve. Defensively, continued Swedish Tridon Mk2 deliveries signal Ukraine is deepening interceptor inventory rather than plateauing, maintaining architectural expansion as the dominant counter-UAS posture.
Ukraine’s air defences intercepted 93 out of 102 drones launched by Russia overnight, although strikes were recorded at several locations.
Ukrainian air defences intercepted most of the 251 drones launched overnight, though several strikes and damage were reported.
This is the first of a two-part series looking at single Russian mass missile/drone assault on Ukraine, with a focus on the Kremlin’s airstrike package and Ukrainian defense tactics against it.
Russian attacks have caused new power outages across multiple regions of Ukraine.
Russian officials reported interceptions across multiple regions as Kyiv continues cross-border strikes targeting military and energy infrastructure.
154 drones attacked Ukraine on the night of 20-21 March. Ukraine's air defence forces destroyed or jammed 148 of them. Damage reported in Zaporizhzhia.
Ukrainian advisers deployed to the Gulf were reportedly stunned by US reliance on costly missiles to intercept cheap drones, exposing a stark vulnerability in air defense tactics.
Ukrainian forces conducted 365 mid-range strikes between March 2025 and March 2026, a third of them in the last three months alone, using domestically produced drones.
In this episode of the Urban Warfare Project Podcast, John Spencer is joined by Dr. Anthony Tingle, an independent researcher who has made nine trips to Ukraine since the start […] The post Urban Warfare Project Podcast: Drones and Urban Warfare in Ukraine first appeared on Modern War Institute .
In 2025, a NATO exercise in Estonia revealed the structural vulnerability that modern mechanized forces can no longer afford to ignore. During the Hedgehog 2025 exercise, a Ukrainian team of […] The post Drone Warfare and the Future of Korean Armor first appeared on Modern War Institute .
In an exclusive interview, a logistics coordinator of Ukraine’s 423rd UAS Battalion speaks about drone warfare, shifting battlefield tactics, and why he believes Russia’s war goes far beyond Ukraine.
Following their success in Ukraine, Arctic nations are assessing whether first-person-view drones could be deployed on Arctic battlefields.
Ukraine spent years perfecting cheap drone killers. After burning through billions in missiles in three days, the U.S. and its allies are asking for help.